| 李园园,刘晓红.老年人群全因死亡预测模型综述[J].中国临床保健杂志,2023,26(4):568-573. |
| 老年人群全因死亡预测模型综述 |
| A review of all-cause mortality prediction models in the older adults |
| 投稿时间：2023-06-12 |
| DOI：10.3969/J.issn.1672-6790.2023.04.030 |
| 中文关键词: 死亡 模型,理论 临终医护 老年人 综述 DOI:10.3969/J.issn.1672-6790.2023.04.030A review of all-cause mortality prediction models in the older adults Li Yuanyuan,Liu Xiaohong |
| 英文关键词: Death Models,theoretical Terminal care Aged Review 〖FL |
| 基金项目:北京协和医院中央高水平医院临床科研专项(2022-PUMCH-B-132) |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 优化老年人的医护照料方案是复杂的,必须考虑个人的预后。有效的死亡风险预测模型可以评估预后,为治疗决策提供重要信息,确定获益最大的诊疗方案,并为医患共同决策提供基础,是帮助临床决策的重要工具。国外学者研发了多种老年人死亡预测模型,包括社区、住院以及长期照护机构人群,部分工具已经进行了验证及推广,但是在中国大陆尚缺乏相关研究。该文将对老年人死亡预测模型的内容、准确度和适用性等进行综述,为开发适合我国老年人群的死亡预测模型,制定最优临床决策提供依据。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| Optimizing health care in older adults is complex and must take into account their prognosis.Prediction models can provide determinants for shared-decision making and establish the most beneficial care options.Several mortality prediction models have been developed for different settings of older adults,including the community,inpatient,and long-term care.And some models have been validated and generalized.But there is a lack of relevant research in Chinese Mainland.In this paper,we review the content,accuracy,and applicability of mortality prediction models,to provide the foundation for developing a mortality prediction model applicable to the Chinese elderly population. |
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